Monthly Archives: October 2013

Companies are not rational entities

During my time of despair after Google decided to kill Reader, one of my favorite bloggers, Michael Mace, wrote a great article titled “Google Logic: Why Google Does the Things it Does.” As with most of Mace’s articles, it’s a long read, but very well written, insightful, and thought-provoking.

In the article, Mace theorizes on why Google does a lot of things that it does, like killing products that people love (e.g. Reader), buying Motorola, and even things like the evolution of Google Docs. He does a great job of showing how the corporate culture and actions & egos of the founders influence how and why Google does what it does. He also points out what he sees as Google vulnerabilities, why their competitors (Apple, Microsoft, Facebook, and others) succeed against them, and how those same competitors can continue to do so going forward.

The most important point he makes in the article is not about Google. Near the beginning of the article, he states:

…it’s a mistake to assume there’s a logical reason for everything a company does. Sometimes managers act out of fear or ignorance or just plain stupidity, and trying to retrofit logic onto their actions is as pointless as a primitive shaman using goat entrails to explain a volcano.

In my opinion, what he’s trying to say is that companies are not rational entities.

For whatever reason, we on the outside want to believe that a company is led by rational decision makers who use nothing but data and quantitative factors in their decision-making process. Unfortunately, having personally been involved in key decisions at a large company, most are driven more by ego, emotion, politics and inertia than quantitative factors. That’s why we are regularly frustrated when Google kills are favorite product, Apple fails to announce an updated Apple TV or smartwatch, HP does nothing with WebOS, Microsoft flubs Windows 8, and so on.

To put it another way, companies are not designed to make intelligent rational decisions. Their job is to satisfy stakeholders (employees, customers, investors) and to keep the company running smoothly, which sometimes involves stroking the egos of key employees, reacting emotionally to competitive pressures, or playing corporate and industry politics. It’s why I believe Mace’s article is spot-on and a must read for anyone who wants to understand corporate dynamics. He breaks down the qualitative factors that are most likely playing into Google’s decision making process and strategy. It will help you understand why companies are not rational entities.

Book review: Nexus

Nexus by Ramez NaamThrough the wonders of the Amazon recommendation engine, the next science fiction book that caught my eye was Nexus by Ramez Naam.

Nexus has a fascinating plot. A nano drug has been created that permits people to link their brains together wirelessly. The effect allows people to tap the powers of the brain to do amazing things, or extremely nefarious activities depending on the intentions of the user.

Continue reading

Looking in the Mirror

I’m a fan of Neil Postman’s work. His book, Amusing Ourselves to Death: Public Discourse in the Age of Show Business, is an incredible work, and not just for the concepts it covers. It’s most amazing accomplishment is that is was written 30 years ago and is more relevant today than it was then. I’ve already read the book and written a review on it, and I consistently recommend it to everyone I interact with.

So you may be wondering why I’m writing about it again.

Well, in the midst of the government shutdown earlier this month, a close friend of mine, Jeff Turner, wrote an incredibly thought-provoking blog entry entitled, “The Illusion of Knowing Something”. In it, Jeff references Postman to support his point that, in this country, we value “the appearance of knowledge, not actual knowledge”. To say you’d be doing yourself a disservice by not reading Jeff’s post is an extreme understatement. I implore you to read it. It’s short, sweet, and to the point. (If I only had a fraction of his writing talent…, but that’s a post for another time.)

As a Postman fan, I completely agree with Jeff. On the whole, we have become lazy. We rely on the media and others to summarize complicated issues into 5 second sound bytes so we can feel informed. We regurgitate these sound bytes to support and defend our views. Few of us are genuinely interested in researching the issues on our own to formulate our own opinions, and those who do are accused of wasting their time. The end result is the situation we find ourselves in today. A government that is more interested in winning the war of public support through sound bytes and imagery rather than serious debate over what is really in our best interests.

I mean, seriously, how many of us would be willing to sit through a 6 hour unbiased recap of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. (Frankly, as Jeff points out, I’m not sure how many of our elected officials would be interested in doing that.) Instead, we’re content to get a summary from CNN, Fox News, Jon Stewart, or our favorite news outlet, which aren’t designed to inform us. They’re designed to entertain us in the name of ratings so we continue to tune in the next day, the day after that, and so on.

So the next time you find yourself complaining about the ineffectiveness of the politicians we’ve elected, especially those in Washington, remember that we are all to blame for what’s happening. Until all of us decide to spend the effort to educate ourselves on the issues shaping our future and form our own opinions, our destiny will be determined by those who job it is to entertain rather than inform us. It’s a decision that will not only affect us today but also affect our country for generations to come.

 

Book Review: Cyberstorm

CyberStorm by Matthew MatherAs part of my recent reading binge, I’ve taken a liking to hard science fiction books and tech thrillers. The description for Cyberstorm by Matthew Mather fit both of those areas, so I decided to pick it up (it didn’t hurt that it was also available at a special promotional price of $0.99).

The brief plot description, without giving too much away, is that an electronic attack on the country’s infrastructure grinds New York City to a halt just as a series of major snowstorms is about  to hit. From there, the story’s chief protagonist, Mike Mitchell, has to team up with other members of his apartment to fight for his, his family’s and his friends’ survival.

While the overall premise of the story is plausible, there were a number of elements of the book that bothered me to the point of making the story unbelievable:

  • The description of the series of storms that hit the city are described as though they come out of the movie “The Day After Tomorrow”I could understand one big storm of that nature, but I can’t recall a series of storms of such devastation hitting the east coast in a long, long time, if ever. Piling additional storms on top of one another wasn’t necessary for Mather to get his point across.
  • The string of bad luck that Mike Mitchell runs across gets tiring. Every time he runs into a situation that you think can’t get worse, it does. It feels like you are reading the story line for a B-rate horror movie. On the other hand, it does keep you reading just to see if the guy can ever catch a break.
  • I also found the level of paranoia exhibited by Mitchell and the other main characters to be exaggerated. Again, it takes a good story to the point of becoming unbelievable. Primarily, people who exhibit that much paranoia generally don’t survive catastrophic situations very well, particularly when they begin to distrust all those around them and begin looking out only for themselves.

Overall, I wouldn’t recommend the book. It turned out there wasn’t enough in the way of hard science fiction to satisfy my taste, and the tech thriller side of things felt more like a low budget horror movie. There’s much better apocalyptic cyber thrillers out there that contain a better description of the technology behind cyberattacks as well as a more engaging plot. For example, I’d recommend Daemon by Daniel Suarez or Zero Day by Mark Russinovich before Cyberstorm.